K-1 Dynamite!! 2010 recap

K-1 Dynamite!! is typically an extravagant year-end event in which Japanese management company FEG joins its talents from Dream (and previously Pride) and K-1 to put on a huge super-card full of freak shows, gimmick matches, and a few legitimate scraps thrown in for good measure. This year was no different, except in my opinion it did a bit more for those craving more legitimate fights than in the past few years (excluding last year's), culminating in a pretty decent event overall. The godawful Bob Sapp vs some Japanese guy I've never heard of in some kind of "special rules" (which included the lack of gloves and prohibition of open-handed strikes) was thankfully cancelled when Sapp "lost the will to fight." I pulled out my washed up talentless hack-to-English dictionary and found out that means "I want more money." Anyway, lets get on with it.
Hiroyuki Takaya def. Bibiano Fernandes (c) via Decision (unanimous), Rd 3
Prediction: Let it be known that I thought Takaya did enough to win their first scrap to crown the inaugural Dream Featherweight Champion. Therefore, in this fight I predicted Takaya would do it again and get awarded the belt this time.
What Happened: Exactly that. The bout was about as close as it gets in the first two rounds, with Takaya edging out the first, and the second being a draw (slight edge to Fernandes) on my cards. The third round was pivotal, and Fernandes' decision to pull guard to work his BJJ proved to be his undoing, as Takaya refused to be submitted; he pounded and controlled Fernandes until the final bell, effectively stealing the round and the fight.
Thoughts: The president of FEG claimed this fight did more to drive away fans than bring them in, and that he was very disappointed by it. That may be true for the casual fan, but for me the fight had a nice amount of tension and back-and-forth battling despite its deliberate pace. Takaya slightly got the better of the standup exchanges, and perhaps sensing he needed to do something major, Fernandes pulled guard expecting his BJJ to take the match. Takaya then showed that he is more well-rounded than previously thought, as he fearlessly dove into Fernandes' dangerous guard and roughed him up as if he was untouchable. Despite what Sherdog says, I think this fight earned Takaya a slot in the Featherweight Top 10.
Next for Takaya: It's hard to say who's next in line for a shot at the title. Kazuyuki Miyata could be primed for a shot, as could Yoshiro Maeda and Mitsuhiro Ishida, who are both on 2 fight win streaks. My pick here is Miyata.
Next for Fernandes: There is no shame in losing the title in such a close fight, and he should be right back in the mix following the loss. Perhaps a match against Mitsuhiro Ishida to give his BJJ a workout is in the works for him.

Tatsuya Kawajiri def. Josh Thomson via Decision (unanimous), Rd 3
Prediction: This was the hardest fight on the card for me to call. I pretty much considered it a toss-up and decided to just enjoy the fight and see what happens, as I am fans of both guys.
What Happened: Thomson showed lots of toughness, heart, aggressiveness, and great cardio, but in the end was dominated by Kawajiri's smothering wrestling and top control. In the brief portions of the fight that took place that were on the feet Thomson was clearly the better striker and landed some good shots, but he just couldn't stop Kawajiri from dragging him to the ground.
Thoughts: Thomson didn't disappoint too much in defeat, but Kawajiri was a beast that night. Thomson's potent kickboxing was in full display, but his usually solid wrestling was virtually non-existent against the bulldozing power of Kawajiri. Kawajiri even managed to lock in two tight arm triangles, but Thomson's savvy and composure got him through; Kawajiri, sensing the submissions weren't coming, jumped back to mount on both occasions. I'd say that he is in line for a trip to the U.S.
Next for Kawajiri: His next opponent should be in Strikeforce. In fact, I think he should be the next challenger to Gilbert Melendez's lightweight strap. I know, he hasn't exactly earned it, but since when is that a prerequisite in Strikeforce? Hell, Melendez won the interim belt in his very next fight after losing to Thomson for the belt.
Next for Thomson: Tough to determine where to put him in the lightweight picture. Maybe a fight with KJ Noons in a title eliminator would suffice. Like I said, it's Strikeforce; no one earns anything.

Jason High def. Hayato Sakurai via Decision (split), Rd 3
Prediction: High would do pretty well with his wrestling, but Sakurai (though definitely past his prime) would do enough to score a late stoppage win.
What Happened: In a fairly uneventful fight, Sakurai proved a bit gun shy in the early rounds, but still kept the fight very close. After two difficult to score rounds, Sakurai came alive late in the 3rd, dropping High with strikes but giving up a takedown has High instinctually shot in. It proved not to be enough, as High took the decision on two judge's cards.
Thoughts: Sakurai is still competitive, but this fight made it clear he is really over the hill. Despite having a definite skill advantage on the feet he refused to let it all out during the exchanges until it was too late. He also looked a bit out of shape and slow from the start. He either needs to start training seriously or hang 'em up. I won't take anything away from High though, he did perform well, but really needs to improve his standup. As evidenced by his lone UFC fight (and loss) against Charlie Brenneman, he pretty much runs out of offense once he can't impose his will through wrestling.
Next for High: Hell if I know, Dream's welterweight division sucks. Maybe a title rematch against Zaromskis.
Next for Sakurai: Same as above, though with his recent skid anyone will do.

Marius Zaromskis def. Kazushi Sakuraba via TKO (HOLY CRAP HIS EAR FELL OFF! I mean doctor stoppage), Rd 1
Prediction: Sakuraba is one knockout away from death. I hoped to God Zaromskis would win by something other than knockout, but either way he wins.
What Happened: He won by something other than knockout. Damn near ripping Sakuraba's ear clean off his head with a glancing punch. I was actually relieved; they can sew his ear back on, but Saku doesn't need anymore trauma to the head.
Thoughts: Zaromskis finally got a win in 2010, even though you could attribute the win more to Sakuraba falling apart than to Zaromskis' actual skill. Hard to know where Zaromskis actually is as a welterweight, but Sakuraba's drop to 170 was way too little, way too late. The man seriously needs to retire, and he's needed to for a while now. I'm seriously concerned for his health, and I'm practically cringing the entire time he fights now in anticipation that his career will be forcefully ended.
Next for Zaromskis: Like I said, unless I'm missing someone, the Dream welterweight division is barren. Maybe Jason High, like I mentioned earlier.
Next for Sakuraba: Retirement. Seriously.

Satoshi Ishii def. Jerome Le Banner via Decision (unanimous), Rd 3
Prediction: Ishii has become a lay-n-pray specialist. Le Banner is a K-1 kickboxer who has proven more effective than most pure kickboxers when it comes to not getting subbed. Doesn't take a rocket scientist. Ishii by unanimous decision.
What Happened: Le Banner did a pretty admirable job on the ground, but all that muscle expectedly did a number on his cardio, which left him too tired to capitalize on his advantages. Ishii by unanimous decision.
Thoughts: Le Banner is wildly popular in Japan, and Dream has been trying their damnedest to push Ishii and make him a big draw. The problem is he lacks finishing ability and is content to just hold down his opponents and pepper them with strikes. Not a very fan-friendly style. His uneventful win over Le Banner was met with a cascade of boos from the normally docile Japanese crowd. If he is to gain the support of the fans, he has three options: 1) Fix those holes in his game and take some risks to finish his opponents, 2) Develop an exciting style, or 3) Take a page out of pro wrestling and develop an over-the-top personality. For his sake, he should choose number 1.
Next for Ishii: He needs a legitimate opponent in order for fans to care about him, but he also needs to work on his overall game. But hell, he'll probably fight James Thompson or something.
Next for Le Banner: Well seeing as how this isn't his sport, I assume he'll return to K-1.

Alistair Overeem def. Todd Duffee via KO (punches), Rd 1
Prediction: Duffee would be in way over his head as he's a decent boxer who's relatively green facing a really good striker with a wealth of experience. Duffee might hold his own at spots, but it wouldn't stop Overeem from notching a (T)KO.
What Happened: For some reason Duffee decided to run in swinging like a madman, and one hard knee to the body, a left, and a right hook, and Duffee's out cold. We all knew it would happen, but thought it'd take longer than 19 seconds.
Thoughts: Duffee took a big risk accepting a fight with Overeem coming off a deflating knockout loss and being released from the UFC; it didn't pay off. At least he got a nice payday for getting knocked out so quickly; he reportedly earned $60,000 for the bout. Turns out this one was for the Dream interim Heavyweight Title, which gives Overeem his 3rd belt in a combat sport (he is the Strikeforce champion, and recently won the K-1 World Grand Prix in 2010). Best part about the fight was Overeem's girlfriend at the end. Usually not my type but I gotta admit that is an attractive woman.
Next for Overeem: Thankfully, we can now confirm that Overeem will finally be taking on Fabricio Werdum in the first round of an 8 man heavyweight tournament in Strikeforce. This also may mean that Overeem will have a 2011 full of good competition, provided he gets past Werdum.
Next for Duffee: That's a tough one. Dream probably won't bring him back, so he'll have to hit up one of the less orgs like Shark Fights. I think Strikeforce should sign him; they have some good up-and-comers for him like Daniel Cormier and Shane Del Rosario. I wouldn't be surprised if he was the final reserve entrant.

Sergei Kharitonov def. Tatsuya Mizuno via KO (knee and punches), Rd 1
Prediction: Mizuno has mad considerable strides in his game as of late, but still wouldn't be ready for someone of Kharitonov's abilities. Kharitonov by (T)KO.
What Happened: See above....brutally.
Thoughts: Mizuno, God bless him, tries really hard out there and has improved a lot over time, but I'm not sure he'll ever be able to do well against any good heavyweight. He just doesn't have the skill or the athleticism. It's definitely commendable that he's dedicated to the sport but he should stick to lower level guys, especially if he wants to gain confidence in the ring. Melvin Manhoef will probably be the biggest win of his career, not that it wasn't impressive.
Next for Kharitonov: Andrei Arlovski, as a part of the Strikeforce tournament.
next for Mizuno: Maybe he should call it quits and go back to being a police officer. I felt bad watching his wife crying as he lay unconscious. If he continues, I think he should stay at 205. He's displayed some decent skills and could actually do well against lower-end 205ers.

Mixed Rules Bout: Yuichiro Nagashima def. Shinya Aoki via KTFO (knee and punches), Rd 2
Prediction: Aoki would avoid major action in the opening 3 minute striking round and survive, then he'd take the fight to the ground and easily sub Nagashima in the following 5 minute MMA round.
What Happened: Little surprises in the 1st round: Aoki practically avoided fighting in the round altogether by using such techniques as dropkicks and rolling hell kicks to flop to the ground and waste as much time as possible. He also shot in for clinches and did several other stalling tactics that are illegal in K-1. All thought Aoki would easily sub Nagashima in the MMA round, but what happened next was arguably a winning last minute entry for upset of the year: Aoki immediately shot in, was blasted by a flying knee, and slumped to the ground where a few unnecessary followup punches sealed the deal.
Thoughts: Everyone including myself pretty much wrote out Nagashima after Aoki's antics in the first round, and I'm sure many of those same people were hoping Aoki would get his comeuppance as well. Well he did, and it was sweet. I have a love-hate situation with Aoki and his willingness to participate in useless fights have had me on the latter end lately. I hope Aoki bounces back nicely from this, but I'm glad he got flattened by that knee, in the MMA round no less.
Next for Nagashima: Back to K-1, where he is a champion. A cross-dressing, cosplaying, champion.
Next for Aoki: Hard to say. There aren't really any viable challengers for his lightweight title. A rematch with JZ Cavalcante seems one of the few options, but after having lost 3 of his last 4 (including his last fight) he's not really in a deserving spot. Katsunori Kikuno recently defended his Deep title, and may look to become a champ in Dream too, but his last fight in Dream was a loss. That and he'd most likely lose. Perhaps Aoki needs to come to America along with Kawajiri.

Hiroshi Izumi def. Ikuhisa Minowa via TKO (punches), Rd 3
Prediction: I really think they called Minowa in against Ishii just to try and get Ishii over with the fans because they knew he'd beat Minowa, whom the fans love and respect. I think the same thing was done in pairing Minowa with Izumi. Izumi by decision.
What Happened: As expected Minowa had nothing for Izumi, but Izumi showed more tenacity than Ishii did and managed to hammer out a stoppage late in the fight. He wasn't exactly destroying Minowa, but the fight needed to be stopped.
Thoughts: Minowa looks to be on his way to the bottom. He was never a top fighter, but lately he's just looked flat and uninspired. I've said many times that Minowa only really does well against big lumbering oafs who will clumsily tumble to the ground at some point during his dogged attempts to get them there, where they are damn near powerless against what is really his only weapon: leglocks. When you put Minowa against guys who are bigger than he is, but still skilled and relatively quick and athletic, there is nothing he can do. With Ishii's and Izumi's extensive judo backgrounds there's no way he'd submit them, and without the ability to submit them he's got nothing. It seems they've found another job for Minowa besides freak show fighter: prospect builder-upper.
Next for Izumi: Back in Sengoku I think it'd be interesting to see him fight Dave Herman. Or if they still want to protect him, Yoshihiro Nakao.
Next for Minowa: He should stick to freakshow fights, if there are even anymore freaks left for him to fight; he's just about faced them all. OR here's an idea: why not put together a rubber match between Minowa and fresh UFC castoff Phil Baroni. At this point I'd go with Baroni.

Kazuyuki Miyata def. Caol Uno via Decision (unanimous), Rd 3
Prediction: Tough one to call with Miyata's great improvements recently, but I figured Uno would be too crafty and savvy, and walk out with a late submission or decision win.
What Happened: After being outstruck for much of the 1st round, Miyata decided to go to his bread-and-butter: his dominant wrestling. For the final two rounds, Miyata shut down Uno's offense with smothering wrestling, and even landed three of his trademark German suplexes to take a clear-cut decision.
Thoughts: Miyata has really been looking impressive lately, and if he keeps it up could find himself in the top 10 come Dynamite!! 2011. After a rough start to his career, he has figured out how to apply his wrestling to MMA properly, and has developed enough striking to set up his powerful takedowns. He seems to have forgotten how to finish fights, with all but one of his wins on his current 6 fight streak going the distance, but you could also make the argument that it's because he's been facing much greater competition. Prior to facing opponents people have actually heard of he was getting his wins via submission. Perhaps as he improves he will start submitting top guys.
Tough break for Uno, who had his debut at 145 spoiled here. He's clearly past his prime, and I doubt he'll make a run at the title, but there are still some interesting fights for him in the division.
Next for Miyata: One could argue that he is ready for a title shot, but if not he should be one win away, and I would nominate Mitsuhiro Ishida for that fight. Pitting two powerful wrestlers like them against each other could make for an interesting bout, and may spell trouble for the champ.
Next for Uno: He's had a long career and has done a lot. Maybe he deserves a small step down in competition against someone like Daiki Hata. If he still wants to stay in the thick of it Akiyo Nishiura or Hideo Tokoro could make for good matchups.
Other Stuff
- Hideo Tokoro took a surprisingly long time to submit boisterous (see: asshole) boxer Kazuhisa Watanabe. Tokoro seemed to be dead set on locking in a nearside armbar from the top, which Watanabe apparently learned how to defend pretty well. In fact, Watanabe proved to be very tough (and stubborn) in general throughout the affair. Not too impressive for Tokoro, who should have tried to utilize more than armbars and rear naked chokes (which he probably trained for) to put Watanabe away.
- Gegard Mousassi impressed once again bringing his kickboxing record to 5-0 as he took a decision from current K-1 Heavyweight Champion Kyotaro under K-1 rules. It was a close fight, but Mousassi convincingly snagged the decision. Kyotaro lost a hard fought decision to Semmy Schilt just two weeks prior, which may have affected him in this fight, but Mousassi was very impressive regardless and may have a future in K-1.
- In a K-1 MAX bout, colorful MMA fighter Akiyo Nishiura and K-1 MAX World -63kg Tournament winner Tetsuya Yamato fought to a majority draw, with the dissenting judge scoring the fight for Yamato. Akiyo's twitchy, unorthodox style was difficult for Yamato to figure out in the first two round, but he found his range in the third, tagging Akiyo repeatedly toward the end of the bout. Akiyo scored the better shots in the previous two rounds, but apparently the third round is the one that really matters to K-1 judges, which might explain one judge scoring it for Yamato.

Well that was exhausting, but when is it not. One of these days I'll do a recap that doesn't take half a day to read through, you'll see! Then again, it's not like anyone reads them anyway, so I might as well just keep up what I'm doing. Hopefully I'll get around to covering the events of Sengoku 16 in the next couple days. That'll be another long one. Oh joy.

Hot and Cold: UFC 125

Of course UFC 125 had its winners and losers (and draws), but how have the fighters been affected in the big picture? Who won or lost more than just the match they fought this past Saturday? Thought I'd try out something new, so here's what I think.

Who's HOT

Frankie Edgar: To many, the mark of a true champion is the ability to overcome adversity. Edgar showed one of the greatest examples of this against Gray Maynard, as he took one of the most hellacious beatings ever seen in a title fight, and not only survived the round but somehow came back to take round 2 clearly. Edgar is very disappointed that the fight came out to a draw, but the fact that he even made it to a decision at all is incredibly impressive by itself. He came back from a 10-8 first round to take a draw on one scorecard, and even win the fight on another. He has nothing to be ashamed of.

Brian Stann: Stann took a huge risk in calling out a fighter like Chris Leben while still trying to establish himself since dropping to 185. He was rewarded in the best way possible for his risk by not only beating Leben, but finishing him with strikes; something only middleweight champ Anderson Silva has managed to do. Stann arguably shot up from unheralded middleweight to top 15 in one fight.

Thiago Silva: After a year layoff to correct a back injury he's fought with for a while, Silva dominated and humiliated Brandon Vera on Saturday. With his performance, there are already suggestions from fans to give him Rampage or the winner of Jon Jones vs Ryan Bader for his next fight, which would put him in the mix.

Dong Hyun Kim: Kim impressed with a dominant grinding win over Nate Diaz, where he showed off his great strength and excellent awareness on the ground. He's not quite ready for GSP yet, but he definitely needs a top 10 opponent.

Clay Guida: Guida seems to be hitting a stride. His guillotine choke victory over for Pride lightweight king Takanori Gomi was his third straight submission victory, and in those fights he has displayed improvements in just about all facets of his game. It may be time to enter Guida in lightweight contender talks.

Dustin Poirer: A dominant decision over Josh Grispi has surely earned Poirer a top 10 featherweight spot, and likely has him close to earning a title shot.

Brad Tavares: Tavares showed some heart after getting dropped and nearly finished by a dangerous Phil Baroni, only to turn around and impressively TKO him shortly after.

Diego Nunes: The first round may not have been pretty, but Nunes is now arguably a top 5 featherweight after edging out former king Mike Brown via decision.

Who's COLD

Chris Leben: After the impressive 2010 Leben had, just losing to Stann didn't put him on the cold list. However, getting stopped due to strikes for just the second time in his career in a territory he usually calls his own (a brawl) justifies his entry. Reports have risen that Leben was sick during the fight (and he did look more sluggish than usual), but I hate excuses, and I doubt it would have gone too much differently. Leben is still a threat to most 185'ers so I'm sure he'll bounce back.

Brandon Vera: It's bad enough that Vera has now lost 3-straight, which is usually grounds for extermination in the UFC; but Vera also lost in lackluster and embarrassing fashion against Thiago Silva. After being dominated for 2 rounds, he practically did nothing while Silva rode his back, slapped his head, and drummed on his body in the 3rd. Vera was definitely one of the bigger losers Saturday.

Marcus Davis: Also in the 3-straight loss crowd is Marcus Davis, who had his debut at 155 spoiled when he suffered a 3rd round KO at the hands of Jeremy Stephens. All the more disheartening for Davis is that he was arguably winning the fight before the KO; he was soundly outboxing Stephens and overpowering him in the clinch and on the ground. As one of the more exciting fighters he may get another chance, and he definitely showed signs of being competitive in the division.

Josh Grispi: After his performance against Dustin Poirer it's hard to believe Grispi was originally slated to face Jose Aldo for the featherweight strap on at UFC 125. He's still very young so he has plenty of time to develop, but he is clearly not ready for upper-level featherweights yet.

Phil Baroni: The third and final entrant in the 3-straight loss club at UFC 125, Baroni is likely in the most danger of getting cut. After a strong start in which he seemed dropped Brad Tavares and almost locked in a tight guillotine, Baroni was shocked with a barrage of strikes.

Antonio McKee: McKee's mouth is what got him onto this list. His close decision loss to Jacob Volkmann (ending a 15 fight, almost 8 year unbeaten streak) is only a minor setback, but when you consider the amount of cocky trash talk and promises of coming into the UFC and taking reign over the lightweight division in brutal fashion, McKee was a pretty big loser that night. Usually eager to shoot off at the mouth when given the chance, he has been pretty quiet since the loss.

Who's....at ROOM TEMPERATURE

Gray Maynard: Maynard looked great in the first round of his title fight against Frankie Edgar. But after trying so hard to finish in that round, he was decidedly slower and less effective for the following 20 minutes. He still did well, but how do you go from destroying someone for 5 minutes to getting slammed on your ass and outworked by that same guy in the very next round?

Nate Diaz: Diaz is still a solid fighter, but Dong Hyun Kim just showed us what we already knew: Diaz can't handle the combo of good wrestling and submission defense. His performance against Kim was his typical fare, where he is taken down and nullified for 2 rounds, and finishes strong due to his great cardio, but it doesn't make up for being dominated for the majority of the fight.

Takanori Gomi: Gomi's susceptibility to submissions rears its ugly head once more against Clay Guida. Aside from that, he's faced nothing but tough competitors and he didn't look bad against Guida. Knowing how the UFC seems to deal with Japanese fighter, I sadly wouldn't be too surprised if Gomi was cut after going 1-2 in the UFC, but he still has a lot to offer them so I don't see it happening.

Jeremy Stephens: An impressive knockout doesn't erase the fact that Marcus Davis outworked him for much of the match. Nothing major, but Stephens will need to tighten up his game if he wants to compete at a higher level.

Mike Brown: Despite his decision loss to Diego Nunes, Brown looked solid in the fight, especially in the first round where he was aggressive with his striking and closed Nunes' left eye. He still has good fights to give in the UFC, but I fear the division is starting to pass him by.

Jacob Volkmann: You'd figure that with his third straight win he'd be in the hot column right? Not when you consistently deliver uneventful decision wins. Outwrestling Antonio McKee is a very impressive feat, but Volkmann won't get onto the main card anytime soon with his style.

UFC 125 recap

After a long hiatus from blogging, I couldn't resist returning after such an awesome string of fights both to close out 2010 and open up 2011. I'll cover UFC 125 right now, but I can't ignore Sengoku: Soul of Fight and Dynamte! 2010, as both proved to be quality events despite Japanese year-end shows usually being chock full of gimmicks and throwaway matches. UFC 125 delivered what I hoped it would, and then some, even if I may not have done so hot in predicting the outcomes. I called 2010 the year of upsets, and I think the trend may carry over to 2011. And here we go! Not holding back on this one, it will be lengthy haha.

Frankie Edgar (c) and Gray Maynard fight to a Split Draw, Rd 5
Prediction: In a repeat of their first encounter, Maynard's strength and size would be too much for Edgar in the early going, and a late surge against a more weary Maynard would prove too little, too late. Maynard by Decision.
What Happened: After a disastrous 1st round in which Edgar was nearly finished with punches multiple times, Edgar did the improbable and not only survived the round but came back to convincingly win the 2nd. What resulted was a close fight in which the scores were 48-46, 46-48, and 47-47, a split draw.
Thoughts: Wow. The fight that had long been predicted to be painfully boring turns out to be perhaps the most exciting, drama-filled fights on the entire card. I thought for sure Edgar was done in round one, and how he survived is beyond me. He came back to outwrestle Gray in several spots, effectively showing that Maynard's size and strength advantage isn't as dramatic as it once was. The fight was also a draw if I've ever seen one. It's disappointing but absolutely the right call. If it weren't for the the 10-8 round I would have scored it for Edgar in what would have been one of the greatest comebacks of all time. Hell, it still is.
Next for Edgar: An interesting situation has risen. Anthony Pettis is scheduled to face the winner of this fight....but there is no winner. Still, as much as an immediate rematch makes sense, I think the sensible thing to do is to give Pettis his shot since it involves a title unification and it is unfair to make him wait so long. Still, Maynard does deserve a rematch.
Next for Maynard: If he doesn't get a rematch, his choices are to either sit back and wait for the winner of Edgar vs Pettis or take another fight in the interim. If he chooses the latter, the winner of the upcoming Melvin Guillard vs Evan Dunham fight may make sense.

Brian Stann def. Chris Leben by TKO (knee and punches), Rd 1
Prediction: Stann would hold his own on the feet, but would succumb to the Leben Special: get caught up in a firefight, where Leben's chin and punching power usually allow him to come out on top in brutal fashion.
What Happened: Talk about the complete opposite. Stann did well in the early going not allowing Leben to draw him in, and using footwork and a good jab to jump in and out with his strikes. However, it was just a matter of time before he was in Leben's world....or so we thought. After being sucked into a firefight and even getting wobbled, Stann dropped Leben with a hard right hand. In typical fashion, Leben didn't mustered up the ability to get back to his feet, where Stann buckled him once again with sharp lefts. Once again, Leben somehow came back like a zombie from the grave. However, this time Stann would inflict the proverbial shot to the head: a hard knee and followup punches and Leben was done.
Thoughts: Leben still amazes me with his ability to absorb shots and keep coming. Just about any other guy would have been done after Stann landed that right hand and pounced for the finish, and if not would surely be done after the next volley of punches. But even more impressive was Stann's performance. According to most (including myself) this was Leben's fight to lose, but Stann made sure there was no doubt as to who ended the fight. Leading up to the fight Leben said Stann couldn't punch his way through a paper bag. Well maybe so, but he sure could punch his way through Leben's face.
Next for Stann: A win over such a highly regarded opponent should earn Stann a crack at an upper level middleweight. Michael Bisping would be a perfect opponent for him. Stann's more tactical approach since joining Greg Jackson's camp would be greatly tested against Bisping's methodical style. Not to mention pairing an arrogant Brit like Bisping against a humble, former Marine captain like Stann speaks for itself in terms of pre-fight build up. A lot of American fans want to see Bisping beaten regardless of who else he's facing; an all-American guy like Stann would have the America vs. Britain rivalry at an all time high.
Next for Leben: After a fantastic 2010, it looks like Leben's 2011 has started out on quite a bad note. Not only was he finished in the 1st round but it was due to strikes, something no other man but current middleweight kingpin Anderson Silva has done. Since it looks like he won't get Wanderlei Silva, Leben might look to rebound against the loser of Bisping vs Rivera or better yet, the loser of Mark Munoz vs CB Dollaway.

Thiago Silva def. Brandon Vera via Decision (unanimous), Rd 3
Prediction: Silva would stay aggressive and go for the kill, landing the more effective strikes and controlling the ground portions of the fight for a close decision win.
What Happened: Vera showed a definite advantage standing up throughout most of the fight, but unfortunately for him he spent the majority of the fight underneath Silva, who bullied and completely shut Vera down with potent ground and pound and superior strength and positioning. To seal the deal, Silva spent most of the 3rd round riding Vera's back while landing several punches, slaps, forearm strikes, and even took some time to drum on Vera's back and punch him in the backside. Oh, and in the process managed to completely destroy Vera's nose.
Thoughts: Thiago Silva is back. After fighting a while with an injured back, he finally showed why he was such a feared contender before running into Lyoto Machida. With a healthy back he was able to demonstrate his physical dominance and excellent ground game to make Vera, a seasoned veteran, look like an amateur on the mat. Vera's extensive Greco Roman skills looked nonexistant as Silva was able to bully him in the clinch and forcefully take him to the ground (something Randy Couture couldn't even manage). Silva made it looked easy, and clowned and embarrassed Vera in the process. That wasn't a fight, that was 3 rounds of rape.
Next for Silva: Phil Davis would be a perfect opponent for him. He's on fire right now, will have the wrestling advantage (and Silva the striking advantage) and the fight give great insight as to where they both belong in the rankings. Otherwise, the winner of Forrest Griffin vs Rich Franklin would make a fine choice.
Next for Vera: I suspect that Vera will be cut after yet another disappointing performance. He has been hot-and-cold most of his career and I think the UFC brass may have grown tired of him never reaching his potential. If he sticks around, Tim Boetsch may be a good person to show where he really is in the division.

Dong Hyun Kim def. Nate Diaz via Decision (unanimous), Rd 3
PredictionNate Diaz has always had trouble with physically strong guys that have good takedowns and can avoid submissions while controlling the action on the ground. Kim is one of those guys. Kim via close decision.
What Happened: I was pretty spot on with that one. Diaz did well standing up in the fight (especially in the 3rd), but the fact remains that he is able to be taken down almost at will, and adding good submission defense all but guarantees he'll drop a competitive decision.
Thoughts: If you know me you know I can't stand Nate Diaz (I'm warming up to Nick a bit, but I'm still not a fan). I was happy seeing him once again get stifled by a good wrestler, though I would be tickled pink if someone actually managed to finish him. You'd think that with the way a lot of his fights go he'd be seriously drilling some defensive wrestling. Kim showed decent standup but definitely still needs to sharpen up that area of his game if he wants to go further in the division.
Next for Kim: He says he wants GSP, but at this point he's definitely not ready. It'd be interesting to see how his strength and grappling match up with GSP's but with the standup deficit, GSP may not even need to seek takedowns. The winner of Diego Sanches vs Martin Kampmann (thanks Sherdog) would be a good barometer of where he is in the division. Paulo Thiago may also be a solid matchup for him, even if he is coming off of two losses.
Next for Diaz: He needs to go back to 155. I still don't know why he thought he'd set 170 on fire when he can't even get past the good wrestlers at 155. Both divisions are ruled by great wrestlers, so maybe he should fatten up and go to 185 if he wants to avoid them. If he stays at 170, maybe he should get Paulo Thiago or John Howard. If he moves back down, Tyson Griffin or Takanori Gomi could be good opponents.

Clay Guida def. Takanori Gomi via Submission (guillotine choke), Rd 2
Prediction: Gomi would have the tools to wear down and beat Gomi, but is so prone to getting wreckless on the feet that Gomi would tag him and end his night in round 1 or 2. However, that is if Guida doesn't fight smart. A smart Guida could decision Gomi or score a late sub.
What Happened: Guida fought smart. He used his high energy level to move unpredictably in all directions and employ constant head movement. The result was highly confusing and frustrating for Gomi, who even got tagged a few times by Guida's spontaneous striking. Gomi did land a few good shots, but one knee to the body was proved a big mistake, as it allowed Guida to take him down and lock in a fight-ending guillotine.
Thoughts: I guess the Gomi hope train is derailed yet again, and it's sad to see. His susceptibility to submissions is what got him once again this time around, but Guida's frantic pace and confusing movement clearly left Gomi scratching his head, as he could not find his rhythm or his range. However, Guida's stock went way up, and he seems to be enjoying an evolution in his mental game at this point.
Next for Guida: Guida has won 3 straight and looked impressive along the way. His current resurgence has earned him a look at becoming a contender. Ben Henderson would make for an amazing fight between two guys with great wrestling, great chins, and no off-button. Potential fight of the year material if you ask me. Otherwise, a fight with Sean Sherk may also make sense and will show how well Guida holds up against another great wrestler.
Next for Gomi: I take it he gets one more chance to make an impact, and why not against someone else who has their back against the wall and likes to slug? Paul Taylor fits this mold. The fight would surely be fireworks, and should show if Gomi really is done being considered a viable contender. A fight against Nate Diaz would also make for a good story, considering Gomi had an epic battle with his brother Nick that ended with Gomi tapping to a gogoplata late in the fight, only to have the result declared a no contest later on due to Diaz's "herbal self medication." Nate has an iron jaw, great submissions, and is prone to getting into brawls on the feet just like Nick, so the fight could prove to be as epic.

The Prelims
- Marcus Davis looked very solid for his debut at 155 for two rounds. Then he ran into Jeremy Stephens' fist and was knocked unconscious. Davis actually staggered Stephens with a punch in the 1st, but chose to run in and clinch instead trying to go for the finish. As soon as it happened I said he'd regret it because it will probably cost him the fight. Turns out I was right.
- In one of the big shockers of the night, Dustin Poirer thoroughly dominated almost-featherweight title challenger Josh Grispi on the feet and shut down his submission skills on the ground en route to a dominant decision. Jose Aldo's injury may have been a blessing for Grispi because judging from this fight Aldo would have annihilated him if he got that title shot.
- Not surprisingly, Phil Baroni lost to Brad Tavares. The shocker was that he was TKO'd in round 1 after nearly finishing Tavares early on. Baroni can take a ton of damage so you figure if he was going to be stopped it'd be after the first round, where he typically gasses. Baroni will surely be cut now, at just 3-7 in the UFC.
- Diego Nunes took home a close split decision over former champ Mike Brown. Tough fight to predict but I called it, saying that Brown would start off strong but be unable to finish, and Nunes would use his speed and striking to take rounds 2 and 3. The featherweight division seems to have passed Brown by, and he has alternated wins and losses in his last 6. Nunes' stock continues to rise, and he may soon have to make the choice of whether or not to fight Nova Uniao teammate and UFC Featherweight champ Jose Aldo.
- Daniel Roberts survived an early scare to pull off a beautiful kimura submission over of Greg Soto in the 1st round. As soon as Soto's arm was available, Roberts grabbed a hold of it and impressively locked in the submission in lightning quick fashion. Roberts can be a major player at 170 if he works on his standup, and for the record, this should have been award Submission of the Night.
- After loads upon loads of trash talk and self promoting Antonio McKee lost his promotional debut, dropping an uneventful and at times dreadful to watch split decision to Jacob Volkmann. McKee sees a 15 fight, almost 8 year unbeaten streak come to an end, while Volkmann has now won his 3rd straight since dropping down to lightweight. It's quite ironic to see that after so much talk from McKee about how being derided for grinding out decisions by critics has brought out a monster in him who will violently run through everyone he faces, he loses this fight by being outwrestled and grinded down by a guy he was supposed to outwrestle. Kinda funny.

Whew! Okay, that does it. It was a very good event overall, which makes me even more excited for what is to come in 2011. I'll be writing back soon with recaps of the J-MMA year-end events, but until then good fight and good night!